The upcoming midterms offer divergent outcomes of great consequence. If Democrats capture the House of Representatives, expect legislative gridlock in Washington, impeachment proceedings against the president, and non-stop Democrat investigations of everything good, bad or ugly even remotely connected to Donald Trump.
If Republicans hold the House and expand their majority in the Senate, one anticipates continued expansion of the U.S. economy, more jobs with higher wages, more middle-class tax relief and enhanced border security, along with continued investigations into Deep State abuses that occurred both during and after the Obama administration. With potential scenarios differing like night and day, these midterms are as important as any in memory.
Among voter patterns, there are crucial trends to watch. In particular, minority voters. Without customary dominance of the African-American vote, Democrats may not capture the House of Representatives this year, and may not control Congress for a very long time. If the party of Lincoln—the party that freed the slaves and secured their citizenship—secures twenty-two percent or more of the African-American vote, and maintains it through 2020, things look bleak for the party of the Clintons and Obamas. If, in addition, thirty percent or more of the Latino vote goes Republican, Democrats face minority status for a generation or more.
Under the leadership of Donald Trump, that is achievable. This is perhaps Mr. Trump’s most consequential—and thus far most overlooked—thrust into the Democrat party’s power base. The president has courted minority voters since 2016 with ever-increasing success; the economic expansion referenced above, for example, has already resulted in the lowest Black and Latino unemployment levels ever in American history. Beyond 2018, the effort will become a full-court press wherein 22% and 30% support may be merely the foundation on which Republicans enhance their rapport within the African-American and Latino communities.
Democrats and the Liberal Media Complex know this threat to their power is more than wishful Republican thinking. That’s one reason they’ve tried so hard, yet so futilely, to label President Trump a racist. Under the leadership of Trump and his shrewd team of strategists, the effort to expand Republican support among minorities is very real and very far along, and will be determinative.